Pre-tourney Rankings
Texas St.
Southland
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.8#259
Expected Predictive Rating-7.1#278
Pace82.1#8
Improvement+0.8#133

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#226
Improvement-4.1#330

Defense
Total Defense-4.1#280
Improvement+4.9#15
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 18, 2011 197   Toledo W 94-91 35%     1 - 0 +1.1 +9.6 -8.8
  Nov 19, 2011 310   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 77-79 57%     1 - 1 -9.5 -1.2 -8.2
  Nov 20, 2011 147   South Carolina Upstate L 74-82 24%     1 - 2 -6.6 -0.7 -5.5
  Dec 03, 2011 325   Houston Baptist W 103-76 83%     2 - 2 +11.0 +3.2 +2.5
  Dec 06, 2011 182   Houston W 81-78 44%     3 - 2 -1.3 -4.7 +3.2
  Dec 10, 2011 25   @ Texas L 52-86 4%     3 - 3 -19.0 -16.1 -2.0
  Dec 20, 2011 162   @ LIU Brooklyn L 84-100 18%     3 - 4 -12.2 -4.2 -5.4
  Dec 22, 2011 265   @ Fordham L 70-81 38%     3 - 5 -13.6 -8.1 -4.6
  Dec 30, 2011 182   @ Houston L 71-94 21%     3 - 6 -20.5 -8.3 -10.5
  Jan 04, 2012 161   Stephen F. Austin L 65-66 39%     3 - 7 0 - 1 -3.9 +2.1 -6.1
  Jan 07, 2012 226   @ Northwestern St. L 68-83 29%     3 - 8 0 - 2 -15.0 -7.2 -6.7
  Jan 14, 2012 209   McNeese St. W 82-73 50%     4 - 8 1 - 2 +3.2 -5.1 +7.1
  Jan 18, 2012 270   @ Sam Houston St. L 68-71 39%     4 - 9 1 - 3 -5.8 -2.3 -3.5
  Jan 21, 2012 171   Texas San Antonio L 75-80 42%     4 - 10 1 - 4 -8.7 -6.6 -1.7
  Jan 25, 2012 306   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 68-74 53%     4 - 11 1 - 5 -12.5 -12.2 +0.4
  Jan 28, 2012 108   Texas Arlington L 79-82 27%     4 - 12 1 - 6 -2.3 -6.3 +4.6
  Feb 01, 2012 161   @ Stephen F. Austin L 63-71 18%     4 - 13 1 - 7 -4.1 -6.8 +3.1
  Feb 04, 2012 326   @ Nicholls St. L 75-96 63%     4 - 14 1 - 8 -30.2 -12.7 -15.9
  Feb 08, 2012 324   Central Arkansas W 94-63 83%     5 - 14 2 - 8 +15.1 +1.2 +9.7
  Feb 11, 2012 108   @ Texas Arlington L 53-73 11%     5 - 15 2 - 9 -12.5 -19.9 +9.0
  Feb 15, 2012 306   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 79-61 76%     6 - 15 3 - 9 +4.7 -3.2 +6.5
  Feb 18, 2012 278   @ South Dakota W 93-92 41%     7 - 15 -2.5 +2.8 -5.4
  Feb 22, 2012 297   @ SE Louisiana W 62-61 48%     8 - 15 4 - 9 -4.2 -0.5 -3.6
  Feb 25, 2012 171   @ Texas San Antonio W 66-52 20%     9 - 15 5 - 9 +17.1 -3.3 +21.0
  Feb 29, 2012 102   Lamar L 65-81 25%     9 - 16 5 - 10 -14.7 -10.7 -3.3
  Mar 03, 2012 270   Sam Houston St. L 61-63 65%     9 - 17 5 - 11 -11.6 -8.7 -3.0
Projected Record 9.0 - 17.0 5.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11 100.0% 100.0
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%